Self-driving cars are just around the corner . . . still

One of the metrics to emerge from the US invasion and military occupation of Iraq was the "Freidman Unit." One Friedman unit is equal to six months, specifically the "next six months," a period repeatedly declared by New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman to be the most critical of the Iraq War, even though he repeated this prophecy at least 14 times over more than two and a half years. The term was coined by the blogger Duncan Black (Atrios/Eschaton).

The prophecy of self-driving cars has proven every bit as absurd and groundless, as Duncan Black reminds us. We need a Friedman Unit for the self-driving car.

GM: Rumors of self-driving vehicles by 2018
...
Ford: Truly self-driving vehicles by 2021
...
Honda: Self-driving on the highway by 2020
...
Toyota: Self-driving on the highway by 2020
...
Renault-Nissan: 2020 for autonomous cars in urban conditions, 2025 for truly driverless cars
...
Volvo: Self-driving on the highway by 2021
...
Hyundai: Highway by 2020, urban driving by 2030
...
Daimler: Nearly fully autonomous by early 2020s
...
Fiat-Chrysler: CEO expects there to be some self driving vehicles on the road by 2021
...
BMW: Fully self-driving vehicles possible by 2021
...
Tesla: End of 2017

https://www.eschatonblog.com/2019/12/its-tough-to-make-predictions.html