The house plus two


To pass a federal law codifying Roe v Wade, the Democrats will have to keep the house and have at least a two vote margin in the senate in the midterm elections. That's why turnout this November matters bigly.
". . . if your goal is to make abortion rights the central issue or even a central issue in the midterm, this is how you do it and no other approach will have a comparable impact. After that you definitely need to fight; you need to be aggressive; you need to be all those things. But without that clarity none of it will translate electorally." https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/if-youre-serious-about-making-roe-the-midterm-issue

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